Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 13/11, 11:00
Prediction: Diogo Marques vs Tyler Zink
Team pages: Diogo Marques · Tyler Zink
Prediction summary
Winner
Diogo Marques
Tyler Zink
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Diogo Marques
6-4 (W-L)
Tyler Zink
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diogo Marques 1588 · Tyler Zink 1497
| Diogo Marques | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diogo Marques (rating 1588 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Diogo Marques | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diogo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Duarte Lima Sanches M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/11 | Diogo Coelho M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Amadatus Admiraal UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Taymur Muhammad UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Rodrigo Leal UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Jesse De Jager UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Lui Maxted M25 Norman |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 31/10 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/10 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Norman |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Charlie Swaine M25 Norman |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Benjamin Willwerth M25 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diogo Marques vs Tyler Zink?
Our model gives 64% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.