Tennis · M25 Vale do Lobo · 13/11, 11:00
Prediction: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Garrett Johns
Team pages: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · Garrett Johns
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Garrett Johns
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
2-8 (W-L)
Garrett Johns
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1469 · Garrett Johns 1554
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Garrett Johns (rating 1469 vs 1554).
- Garrett Johns is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | Garrett Johns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.7 | 10.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Malta |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Giulio Perego M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Garrett Johns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Malta |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Cezar Cretu M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Leyton Rivera M25 Malta |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniel Tazabekov M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Samir Banerjee M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Arjun Rathi M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Thanapet Chanta M25 Solapur |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Garrett Johns?
Our model gives 68% to Garrett Johns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.