Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 13/11, 09:00
Prediction: Arthur Weber vs Flynn Thomas
Team pages: Arthur Weber · Flynn Thomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Weber
Flynn Thomas
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Weber
7-3 (W-L)
Flynn Thomas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Weber 1499 · Flynn Thomas 1570
| Arthur Weber | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flynn Thomas (rating 1499 vs 1570).
- Flynn Thomas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Weber | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 12.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Weber
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Mickael Kaouk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 11/11 | Jack Dermenjyan M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 16/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Yuta Kikuchi M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/10 | Andrea Colombo M15 Selva Gardena |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Filip Krolo M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Phil Dungs M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Stefan Seifert M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/09 | Arthur Nagel M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Damien Clerc M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Weber vs Flynn Thomas?
Our model gives 57% to Arthur Weber, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.