Tennis · M15 Hua Hin · 13/11, 05:30
Prediction: Kuan-Shou Chen vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Kuan-Shou Chen · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Kuan-Shou Chen
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kuan-Shou Chen
5-5 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kuan-Shou Chen 1510 · Ergi Kirkin 1576
| Kuan-Shou Chen | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ergi Kirkin (rating 1510 vs 1576).
Statistics
| Kuan-Shou Chen | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.1 | 11.7-6.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kuan-Shou Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Penn Charusorn M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/11 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/11 | Dharma Pantaratorn M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/11 | Billy Harris Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Minghui Zhang M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Veerawit Kamput M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Pranav Karthik M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Maxime Janvier M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Arjun Mehrotra M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kuan-Shou Chen vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 54% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.