Tennis · M15 Hua Hin · 13/11, 04:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Fons Van Sambeek
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Fons Van Sambeek
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Fons Van Sambeek
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Fons Van Sambeek
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1497 · Fons Van Sambeek 1558
| Denis Yevseyev | Fons Van Sambeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fons Van Sambeek (rating 1497 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Fons Van Sambeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.1 | 12.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/08 | Matteo Covato M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Fons Van Sambeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Cezar Cretu M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Matyas Fuele M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Flynn Thomas M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Calvin Mueller M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Rafael Giotis M15 Haren |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Fons Van Sambeek?
Our model gives 52% to Denis Yevseyev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.