Tennis · M15 Roldan · 12/11, 16:30

Prediction: Tobia Grandinetti vs Hernan Casanova

Team pages: Tobia Grandinetti · Hernan Casanova

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Tobia Grandinetti Hernan Casanova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Grandinetti 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLWW
Hernan Casanova 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tobia Grandinetti 1469 · Hernan Casanova 1482
Tobia GrandinettiHernan Casanova
Our model48%52%
Market7%93%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tobia GrandinettiHernan Casanova
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 25% (4) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.3-1.2
Games (G-P)7.6-10.811.2-10.8
Aces0.90.1
Double faults3.70.8
1st serve %58.2%64.3%
Break %41.4%45.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tobia Grandinetti

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Joseph Hernandez
M15 Roldan
2-1 17-16 W
10/11 Valentino Conte
M15 Roldan
2-0 12-3 W
31/08 Ivan Dreycopp
M15 Trelew
0-2 4-12 L
25/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Carl Emil Overbeck
M25 Fano
0-2 7-12 L
03/08 Nicolo Toffanin
M25 Fano
2-1 8-6 W
01/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Umag · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
29/06 Facundo Yunis
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
22/06 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 9-10 W

Hernan Casanova

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Ignacio De Armas
M15 Roldan
2-0 12-5 W
04/11 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
03/11 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
19/10 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Cali · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
13/10 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/10 Wilson Leite
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/10 Alexandre Bobiere
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
05/10 Bernardo Munk Mesa
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
04/10 Wilson Leite
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
29/09 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tobia Grandinetti vs Hernan Casanova?

Our model gives 74% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.