Tennis · W50 Chihuahua · 12/11, 22:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1615 · Jessica Hinojosa Gomez 1508
| Malaika Rapolu | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1615 vs 1508).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Malaika Rapolu makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-6.9 | 11.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Demi Tran W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/11 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/11 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Victoria Rodriguez W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/11 | Sofia Johnson W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Ingrid C Millan W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Julia Garcia W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Julia Garcia W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 10/11 | Midori Castillo Meza W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Sofia Johnson W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 04/11 | Paulina Montiel W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Victoria Rodriguez WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Alexandra Osborne WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Weronika Ewald W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez?
Our model gives 77% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.