Tennis · W35 Weston · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Dasha Ivanova vs Ava Catanzarite
Team pages: Dasha Ivanova · Ava Catanzarite
Prediction summary
Winner
Dasha Ivanova
Ava Catanzarite
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dasha Ivanova
6-4 (W-L)
Ava Catanzarite
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dasha Ivanova 1457 · Ava Catanzarite 1508
| Dasha Ivanova | Ava Catanzarite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ava Catanzarite (rating 1457 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Dasha Ivanova | Ava Catanzarite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.9 | 9.2-9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 55.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dasha Ivanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Malwina Rowinska W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Aspen Schuman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Ayana Akli W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Lizette Cabrera W35 Saskatoon |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Ashley Lahey W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Ashton Bowers W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ava Catanzarite
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Arina Bulatova W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 10/11 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Charlotte Narti W15 Hilton Head Island |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Saguenay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Kallista Liu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Catherine Xie W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Belem |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Isabela De Mattos Silva W15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Sao Luis |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Josefina Estevez W15 Sao Luis |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dasha Ivanova vs Ava Catanzarite?
Our model gives 55% to Ava Catanzarite, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.