Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 12/11, 14:00
Prediction: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Lan Mi
Team pages: Luna Maria Cinalli · Lan Mi
Prediction summary
Winner
Luna Maria Cinalli
Lan Mi
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luna Maria Cinalli
9-1 (W-L)
Lan Mi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luna Maria Cinalli 1587 · Lan Mi 1525
| Luna Maria Cinalli | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luna Maria Cinalli (rating 1587 vs 1525).
Statistics
| Luna Maria Cinalli | Lan Mi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-5 | 9.9-10 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 53.6% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luna Maria Cinalli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Manuela Maia Citolino W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 10/11 | Barbara Krupek Soccol W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 28/10 | Alice Tubello WTA Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Ana Candiotto WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado WTA Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Maria Paula Manrique W15 Campina Grande |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/10 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Maceio |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Julia Konishi Camargo Silva W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Paola Lopez W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lan Mi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Sao Carlos |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Adriana Reami WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Berta Passola W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Valentina Losciale W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Ophelie Boullay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luna Maria Cinalli vs Lan Mi?
Our model gives 59% to Luna Maria Cinalli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.