Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Karla Bartel vs Maria Kononova
Team pages: Karla Bartel · Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Karla Bartel
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Karla Bartel
3-7 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karla Bartel 1451 · Maria Kononova 1509
| Karla Bartel | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Kononova (rating 1451 vs 1509).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Karla Bartel | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-10.8 | 10.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 38% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karla Bartel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Conley Raidt W15 Lincoln |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Scarlett Fagan W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Georgina Groth W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Eva Shaw W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Anna Orlando Pellicero W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Horb |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Catherine Gagnon W15 Lincoln |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Barbora Palicova W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Josephine Kunz W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Ema Burgic W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Yuliya Hatouka W50 Austin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Eva Maria Ionescu W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Julia Zhu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Sophie Llewellyn W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Aisha Merchant W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/07 | Kate Fakih W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karla Bartel vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 58% to Maria Kononova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.