Tennis · M25 Columbus · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Denis Petak vs Matthew Forbes
Team pages: Denis Petak · Matthew Forbes
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Petak
Matthew Forbes
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Petak
8-2 (W-L)
Matthew Forbes
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Petak 1553 · Matthew Forbes 1431
| Denis Petak | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denis Petak (rating 1553 vs 1431).
- Denis Petak is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Denis Petak makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Denis Petak | Matthew Forbes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.1 | 11-13.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 64% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Petak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Charlie Snow M25 Columbus |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Duncan Chan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Oskar Jansson M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Daniel Dutra Da Silva M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Roman Postolka M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Gavin Young M25 Columbus |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/10 | Preston Stearns M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 20/10 | Jack Secord M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Jie Cui Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Petak vs Matthew Forbes?
Our model gives 53% to Matthew Forbes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.