Tennis · M15 Naples · 12/11, 17:30
Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Fadi Bidan
Team pages: Lucca Liu · Fadi Bidan
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucca Liu
Fadi Bidan
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Fadi Bidan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1566 · Fadi Bidan 1552
| Lucca Liu | Fadi Bidan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lucca Liu | Fadi Bidan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.4 | 11.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 61% |
| Break % | 63% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Davide Tortora M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Balthazar Orsanic M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Rafael De Alba M15 Mazatlan |
1-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryan Colby M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Fadi Bidan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Koki Nara M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/08 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Elgin Khoeblal M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Louis-Lou Langenaken M25 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kilian Martinez UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Edouard Aubert UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Thomas Patton UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Dusseldorf · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Fadi Bidan?
Our model gives 62% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.