Tennis · WTA Finals · 13/11, 21:00
Prediction: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
Team pages: Mirra Andreeva · Karolina Muchova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mirra Andreeva
Karolina Muchova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mirra Andreeva
7-3 (W-L)
Karolina Muchova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mirra Andreeva 1586 · Karolina Muchova 1510
| Mirra Andreeva | Karolina Muchova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mirra Andreeva (rating 1586 vs 1510).
Statistics
| Mirra Andreeva | Karolina Muchova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-6.9 | 11.8-12.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mirra Andreeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Finals · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/11 | Elina Svitolina WTA Finals · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Yue Yuan WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Karolina Muchova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Elina Svitolina WTA Finals · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 09/11 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Finals · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Caty McNally WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Naomi Osaka WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 04/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Anhelina Kalinina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova?
Our model gives 65% to Mirra Andreeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.