Tennis · M25 Montreal · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Louis Wessels vs Theodore Dean
Team pages: Louis Wessels · Theodore Dean
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Wessels
Theodore Dean
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Wessels
5-5 (W-L)
Theodore Dean
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Wessels 1476 · Theodore Dean 1550
| Louis Wessels | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theodore Dean (rating 1476 vs 1550).
- Theodore Dean is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Louis Wessels makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Louis Wessels | Theodore Dean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.9 | 12.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Wessels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Daniel Kliebhan M25 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Trois-Rivieres |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Liam Hignett M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Noah Boutleux M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/09 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Theodore Dean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Montreal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/11 | Eric David Verdes M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Romain Gales M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Xavier Massotte M15 Trois-Rivieres |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Adriano Dzhenev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Wessels vs Theodore Dean?
Our model gives 52% to Theodore Dean, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.