Tennis · M15 Roldan · 12/11, 15:00

Prediction: Valentin Garay vs Fermin Tenti

Team pages: Valentin Garay · Fermin Tenti

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Valentin Garay Fermin Tenti
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Garay 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLW
Fermin Tenti 2-8 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentin Garay 1454 · Fermin Tenti 1472
Valentin GarayFermin Tenti
Our model47%53%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Valentin GarayFermin Tenti
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.8-1.4
Games (G-P)7.2-9.17.3-10.2
Aces2.20.3
Double faults2.41.3
1st serve %68.2%54.2%
Break %46.3%48.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentin Garay

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Facundo Perlov
M15 Roldan
2-0 12-6 W
01/11 Nicolas Bruna
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
28/10 Bastian Malla
M15 Joao Pessoa
0-2 4-12 L
26/10 Vicente Jose Benitez
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 9-1 W
19/10 Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M15 Maceio
0-2 8-12 L
22/09 Alex Barrena
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
17/09 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Belem
0-2 2-12 L
16/09 Eric Von Marton Martins
M15 Belem
2-0 12-5 W
08/09 Joao Cunha Cunha
M15 Leme
1-2 8-8 L
31/08 Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
M15 Trelew
1-2 7-10 L

Fermin Tenti

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Ian Vertberger
M15 Roldan
2-0 12-5 W
01/11 Ivan Dreycopp
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/10 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Joao Pessoa
0-2 2-12 L
29/10 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-1 16-10 W
27/10 Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-1 10-9 W
20/10 Rocco Valente
M15 Maceio
0-2 4-12 L
21/09 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
09/09 Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
02/09 Nicola Rispoli
M15 Buzau
0-2 3-12 L
31/08 Jan Kupcic
M15 Buzau
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentin Garay vs Fermin Tenti?

Our model gives 57% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.