Tennis · M25 Santa Cruz · 12/11, 14:00
Prediction: Enrique Bogo vs Mateus Alves
Team pages: Enrique Bogo · Mateus Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Enrique Bogo
Mateus Alves
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Enrique Bogo
4-6 (W-L)
Mateus Alves
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Enrique Bogo
1–2
Mateus Alves
(3 last)
- 02 Jul0-2 4-12L
- 29 Oct0-2 7-13L
- 22 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enrique Bogo 1442 · Mateus Alves 1487
| Enrique Bogo | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateus Alves (rating 1442 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Enrique Bogo 1–2 Mateus Alves (3).
Statistics
| Enrique Bogo | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.8 | 9.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 33.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Enrique Bogo 1 – 2 Mateus Alves (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Enrique Bogo 1–2 Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/19 ITF M25 Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/10/18 ITF Brazil F7 | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/08/15 ITF Brazil F5 | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enrique Bogo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi M25 Santa Cruz |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Daniel Vecchio Couldrey Rebelo M25 Santa Cruz |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/11 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alberto Bronzetti M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Jiri Cizek M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Duje Markovina M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/03 | Edoardo Zanada M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Enzo Lima ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Laelson Rodrigues ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mateus Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Santa Cruz |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Bautista De La Pena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jose Pereira Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enrique Bogo vs Mateus Alves?
Our model gives 76% to Mateus Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.