Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 12/11, 18:00
Prediction: Francisco Salmain vs Otso Martikainen
Team pages: Francisco Salmain · Otso Martikainen
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Salmain
Otso Martikainen
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Salmain
5-5 (W-L)
Otso Martikainen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Salmain 1396 · Otso Martikainen 1458
| Francisco Salmain | Otso Martikainen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Otso Martikainen (rating 1396 vs 1458).
- Otso Martikainen is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Francisco Salmain | Otso Martikainen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-13.9 | 10.5-11 |
| Aces | 0 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 27.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Salmain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/02 | Noey Do UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 15/02 | Arjun Prabhakar UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/02 | Santiago Navarro UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Tomas Pinho UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/02 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 09/02 | Tommy Czaplinski UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/11 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/11 | Blake Anderson UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Otso Martikainen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Imran Daniel Abdul Hazli UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Andrew Li UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Louis Larue M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Samuel D F Garcia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Bruno Ouvidor UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Roy Keegan UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Diego Fernandez Flores UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Salmain vs Otso Martikainen?
Our model gives 64% to Otso Martikainen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.