Tennis · M15 Roldan · 12/11, 13:30
Prediction: Nicolas Bruna vs Thiago Cigarran
Team pages: Nicolas Bruna · Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Bruna
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Bruna
7-3 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Bruna
0–2
Thiago Cigarran
(2 last)
- 29 Jul0-2 6-11L
- 23 May1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Bruna 1533 · Thiago Cigarran 1495
| Nicolas Bruna | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Bruna 0–2 Thiago Cigarran (2).
Statistics
| Nicolas Bruna | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.5 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Nicolas Bruna 0 – 2 Thiago Cigarran (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Bruna 0–2 Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 23/05/21 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Bruna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Joaquin Sabina M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Franco Ribero Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/11 | Valentin Garay Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Bastian Malla M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Denis Klok M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Tomas Re M15 Roldan |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Boris Arias Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Anders Matta Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Santiago Pesino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Karim Bennani M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Bruna vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 53% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.