Tennis · W15 Paris · 12/11, 13:00

Prediction: Laura Mair vs Sarah Iliev

Team pages: Laura Mair · Sarah Iliev

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Laura Mair Sarah Iliev
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Mair 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLLLLW
Sarah Iliev 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laura Mair 1504 · Sarah Iliev 1550
Laura MairSarah Iliev
Our model43%57%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Iliev (rating 1504 vs 1550).
  • Note: Laura Mair makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Laura MairSarah Iliev
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.4-1
Games (G-P)10.2-10.512.1-10.1
Aces1.31.3
Double faults43.8
1st serve %67.7%64.8%
Break %53.2%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laura Mair

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Charlotte Cora Bruneton
W15 Paris
2-0 12-3 W
05/11 Elena Milovanovic
W35 Liberec
1-2 8-15 L
03/11 Jialin Tian
W35 Liberec
2-1 14-12 W
28/10 Katarina Zavatska
WTA Courmayeur · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/10 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Loule · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/10 Angela Fita Boluda
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/10 Tian Jialin
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
21/10 Enola Chiesa
W35 Loule · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
13/10 Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Rovereto · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
07/10 Jazmin Ortenzi
W50 Burgas
0-2 4-12 L

Sarah Iliev

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Emma Slavikova
W15 Paris
2-0 12-4 W
27/10 Lola Radivojevic
W75 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/10 Hanna Bougouffa
W75 Poitiers · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
21/10 Oceane Dodin
W50 Cherbourg
0-2 3-12 L
19/10 Maia Ilinca Burcescu
W50 Cherbourg
2-1 17-11 W
18/10 Severine Deppner
W50 Cherbourg
2-0 13-5 W
09/10 Emma Lene
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 11-14 L
08/10 Anna Burchak
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-1 14-10 W
06/10 Hanna Bougouffa
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 12-8 W
12/09 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Dijon
2-1 14-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laura Mair vs Sarah Iliev?

Our model gives 54% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.