Tennis · M15 Monastir · 12/11, 10:00
Prediction: Amaury Raynel vs Stefano D'Agostino
Team pages: Amaury Raynel · Stefano D'Agostino
Prediction summary
Winner
Amaury Raynel
Stefano D'Agostino
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Amaury Raynel
4-6 (W-L)
Stefano D'Agostino
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amaury Raynel 1437 · Stefano D'Agostino 1538
| Amaury Raynel | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefano D'Agostino (rating 1437 vs 1538).
- Note: Stefano D'Agostino makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Amaury Raynel | Stefano D'Agostino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.9 | 10.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amaury Raynel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Charlie Bazil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Etienne Donnet M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Loann Massard M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Lenny Couturier M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Sam Bakker M15 Haren |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Stefano D'Agostino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Remy Dugardin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Richard Lacis M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amaury Raynel vs Stefano D'Agostino?
Our model gives 65% to Stefano D'Agostino, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.