Tennis · W15 Paris · 12/11, 10:00

Prediction: Kira Pavlova vs Sophia Biolay

Team pages: Kira Pavlova · Sophia Biolay

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Kira Pavlova Sophia Biolay
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Pavlova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWLW
Sophia Biolay 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kira Pavlova 1554 · Sophia Biolay 1513
Kira PavlovaSophia Biolay
Our model56%44%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kira Pavlova (rating 1554 vs 1513).
  • Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Kira PavlovaSophia Biolay
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.2-7.710.8-10.7
Aces0.91.1
Double faults53.7
1st serve %65%61.9%
Break %54.8%38.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kira Pavlova

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Lian Tran
W15 Paris
2-1 15-10 W
04/11 Dalma Galfi
W75 Petange
0-2 7-13 L
02/11 Tilwith Di Girolami
W75 Petange
2-0 12-2 W
01/11 Julie Myatovic
W75 Petange
2-0 10-0 W
30/09 Alicia Dudeney
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
25/09 Angela Fita Boluda
W50 Yecla
0-2 9-13 L
24/09 Elza Tomase
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-3 W
23/09 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-8 W
13/08 Yasmine Kabbaj
W35 Vigo
2-1 17-14 W
11/08 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-3 W

Sophia Biolay

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Anna Burchak
W15 Paris
2-1 15-15 W
28/10 Emma Slavikova
W15 Essen
1-2 15-16 L
26/10 Noelia Manta
W15 Essen
2-0 12-6 W
15/10 Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Amelia Paszun
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-8 W
13/10 Midori Castillo Meza
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
08/10 Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
07/10 Ksenia Efremova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-15 W
03/10 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/10 Polina Berezina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kira Pavlova vs Sophia Biolay?

Our model gives 68% to Kira Pavlova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.