Tennis · M15 Hua Hin · 12/11, 04:00
Prediction: Fons Van Sambeek vs Leo Vithoontien
Team pages: Fons Van Sambeek · Leo Vithoontien
Prediction summary
Winner
Fons Van Sambeek
Leo Vithoontien
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Fons Van Sambeek
6-4 (W-L)
Leo Vithoontien
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fons Van Sambeek 1540 · Leo Vithoontien 1431
| Fons Van Sambeek | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fons Van Sambeek (rating 1540 vs 1431).
- Fons Van Sambeek is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Leo Vithoontien makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Fons Van Sambeek | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 9.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 34.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fons Van Sambeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Cezar Cretu M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Matyas Fuele M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Flynn Thomas M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Calvin Mueller M15 Forbach |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Rafael Giotis M15 Haren |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Brian Bozemoj M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Leo Vithoontien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Krittin Koaykul M15 Hua Hin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Tyler Bowers M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Jon Gamble M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fons Van Sambeek vs Leo Vithoontien?
Our model gives 61% to Fons Van Sambeek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.