Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 12/11, 02:30
Prediction: Astra Sharma vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Astra Sharma · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Astra Sharma
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Astra Sharma
7-3 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Astra Sharma
1–0
Emerson Jones
(1 last)
- 06 Feb2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Astra Sharma 1560 · Emerson Jones 1487
| Astra Sharma | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astra Sharma (rating 1560 vs 1487).
- Astra Sharma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Astra Sharma 1–0 Emerson Jones (1).
Statistics
| Astra Sharma | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.8 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Astra Sharma 1 – 0 Emerson Jones (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Astra Sharma 1–0 Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/25 W75 Brisbane | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Astra Sharma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Tahlia Kokkinis W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Sloane Stephens W100 New Braunfels |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Olivia Lincer W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lea Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Imogen Haddad W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Chengyiyi Yuan W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Alexandra Eala WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Heather Watson WTA Hong Kong · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Dayana Yastremska WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Ann Li WTA Osaka · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 17/10 | Heather Watson WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Mai Hontama WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Astra Sharma vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 50% to Astra Sharma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.