Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 12/11, 02:30
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Xinxin Yao
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Xinxin Yao
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
6-4 (W-L)
Xinxin Yao
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuki Naito
1–0
Xinxin Yao
(1 last)
- 08 Jan2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1574 · Xinxin Yao 1544
| Yuki Naito | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yuki Naito 1–0 Xinxin Yao (1).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Xinxin Yao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.3 | 12.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Yuki Naito 1 – 0 Xinxin Yao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuki Naito 1–0 Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/26 W75 Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/11 | Sara Saito W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Madison Brengle W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ayana Akli W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Clemence Mercier W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Annabelle Xu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Xinxin Yao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Renee Alame W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Katie Swan W100 Incheon |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Xiaodi You W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hanna Chang W100 Incheon |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Yujia Huang W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sijia Wei W35 Qian Daohu |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Xinxin Yao?
Our model gives 51% to Xinxin Yao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.