Tennis · W50 Chihuahua · 11/11, 20:00
Prediction: Caterina Odorizzi vs Despina Papamichail
Team pages: Caterina Odorizzi · Despina Papamichail
Prediction summary
Winner
Caterina Odorizzi
Despina Papamichail
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Caterina Odorizzi
3-7 (W-L)
Despina Papamichail
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caterina Odorizzi 1452 · Despina Papamichail 1507
| Caterina Odorizzi | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Despina Papamichail (rating 1452 vs 1507).
- Note: Caterina Odorizzi makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Caterina Odorizzi | Despina Papamichail | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-11 | 11.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caterina Odorizzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Jessica Marmorstein W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Annabelle Xu W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Morelia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Kennedy Gibbs W50 Morelia |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 13/10 | Maria Andrienko W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Snigireva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaya Kapoor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Boehner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Verbier Qual |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Despina Papamichail
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ia Reyes Romero W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Renata Zarazua WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/11 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva WTA Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Matilde Mariani W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jessica Bertoldo W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Simona Ogescu W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caterina Odorizzi vs Despina Papamichail?
Our model gives 77% to Despina Papamichail, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.