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Tennis · Challenger Lima · 12/11, 17:00

Prediction: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno

Team pages: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva · Gonzalo Bueno

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Gonzalo Bueno
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWLW
Gonzalo Bueno 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 5–2 Gonzalo Bueno (7 last)
  • 31 Aug0-2 7-13L
  • 08 Nov2-0 12-7W
  • 22 Jul2-0 12-4W
  • 13 Jun2-0 12-6W
  • 12 Jun2-0 13-10W
  • 13 Jan0-2 8-12L
  • 21 Nov2-0 14-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1594 · Gonzalo Bueno 1541
Joao Lucas Reis da SilvaGonzalo Bueno
Our model58%42%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (rating 1594 vs 1541).
  • Head-to-head: Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 5–2 Gonzalo Bueno (7).

Statistics

Joao Lucas Reis da SilvaGonzalo Bueno
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-9.411.6-11.8
Aces2.31.7
Double faults1.83.4
1st serve %65.1%63.3%
Break %46.5%47.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

H2H · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 5 – 2 Gonzalo Bueno (7)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 5–2 Gonzalo Bueno

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DateSetsGamesRes.
31/08/26
Challenger Como
0-27-13L
08/11/25
Challenger Lima 2
2-012-7W
22/07/25
Challenger Tampere
2-012-4W
13/06/25
Challenger Santa Fe
2-012-6W
12/06/24
Challenger Lima
2-013-10W
13/01/24
Challenger Buenos Aires
0-28-12L
21/11/23
Challenger Brasilia
2-014-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joao Lucas Reis da Silva

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Lima · Clay
 2-0 13-8 W
06/11 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 0-2 8-13 L
05/11 Elmer Moller
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
03/11 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 2-0 13-8 W
31/10 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
 0-2 6-13 L
30/10 Emilio Camacho
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
 2-1 16-12 W
28/10 Lorenzo Claverie
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
 2-0 12-6 W
11/10 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-1 14-14 W
10/10 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-0 12-7 W
09/10 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Antofagasta · Clay
 2-0 13-10 W

Gonzalo Bueno

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Lima · Clay
 2-1 14-10 W
07/11 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 0-2 4-12 L
06/11 Lautaro Midon
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 2-0 12-3 W
04/11 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
 2-0 14-12 W
29/10 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
 1-2 16-17 L
27/10 Alex Barrena
Challenger Guayaquil · Clay
 2-0 13-9 W
22/10 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Cali · Clay
 1-2 13-18 L
19/10 Hernan Casanova
Challenger Cali · Clay
 2-1 14-11 W
13/10 Maximo Zeitune
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
 0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Seville · Clay
 2-1 12-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joao Lucas Reis da Silva vs Gonzalo Bueno?

Our model gives 58% to Joao Lucas Reis da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.