Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1540 · Michael Zheng 1474
| Ozan Baris | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1540 vs 1474).
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.4 | 10.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/11 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Jangjun Kim Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 25/10 | Hunter Heck Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Giles Hussey Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yibing Wu ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Yanki Erel Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 58% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.