Tennis · M25 Columbus · 11/11, 22:00
Prediction: Simon Caldwell vs William Manning
Team pages: Simon Caldwell · William Manning
Prediction summary
Winner
Simon Caldwell
William Manning
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Simon Caldwell
5-5 (W-L)
William Manning
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simon Caldwell 1509 · William Manning 1466
| Simon Caldwell | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Simon Caldwell (rating 1509 vs 1466).
- William Manning dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 59.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Simon Caldwell | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.5 | 10-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simon Caldwell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | David Perret M25 Columbus |
2-1 | 7-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Preston Stearns UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Sharygin UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Nicholas Herdoiza UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Maximillian Mroz M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrei Caragea M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
William Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 14/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ezekiel Clark M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simon Caldwell vs William Manning?
Our model gives 61% to William Manning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.