Tennis · M25 Columbus · 11/11, 17:00
Prediction: Keaton Hance vs Emanuel Ivanisevic
Team pages: Keaton Hance · Emanuel Ivanisevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Keaton Hance
Emanuel Ivanisevic
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Keaton Hance
5-5 (W-L)
Emanuel Ivanisevic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keaton Hance 1532 · Emanuel Ivanisevic 1438
| Keaton Hance | Emanuel Ivanisevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keaton Hance (rating 1532 vs 1438).
- Keaton Hance is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Keaton Hance makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Keaton Hance | Emanuel Ivanisevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.9 | 9.9-12.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keaton Hance
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk M25 Harlingen |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Jordan Lee M25 Harlingen |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 04/11 | Ilya Snitari M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Duncan Chan Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michael Antonius Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Andres Martin Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Johannus Monday M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Naoya Honda M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Emanuel Ivanisevic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ilija Palavestra M25 Columbus |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Norman |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Sydney Zick M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Ryo Tabata M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Eero Vasa M15 Dubrovnik · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Split · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/03 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keaton Hance vs Emanuel Ivanisevic?
Our model gives 72% to Keaton Hance, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.