Tennis · W15 Sao Carlos · 12/11, 14:00

Prediction: Marie Mettraux vs Catarina M I Melleiro Junior

Team pages: Marie Mettraux · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Marie Mettraux Catarina M I Melleiro Junior
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Mettraux 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLW
Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marie Mettraux 1525 · Catarina M I Melleiro Junior 1484
Marie MettrauxCatarina M I Melleiro Junior
Our model56%44%
Market94%6%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Mettraux (rating 1525 vs 1484).

Statistics

Marie MettrauxCatarina M I Melleiro Junior
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.8-1.3
Games (G-P)9.8-10.17.9-10.5
Aces0.90.8
Double faults2.23.4
1st serve %56.6%56.7%
Break %60.5%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marie Mettraux

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Sao Carlos
2-0 12-3 W
11/10 Lidia Encheva
WTA Mallorca · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/10 Gabriela Ce
W35 Seville
0-2 2-12 L
26/09 Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
25/09 Denise Valente
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
24/09 Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
23/09 Barbara Dessolis
W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/09 Tatsiana Sasnouskaya
W15 Cap d'Agde
1-2 15-17 L
01/09 Amahee Charrier
W15 Cap d'Agde
2-0 13-9 W
27/08 Aran Teixido Garcia
W35 Trieste
0-2 2-12 L

Catarina M I Melleiro Junior

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Sabrina Dias
W15 Sao Carlos
2-1 18-15 W
25/10 Berta Bonardi
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/10 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W15 Campina Grande
0-2 5-12 L
21/10 Sofia Omati Albieri
W15 Campina Grande
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Karolina Krajmer
W15 Maceio
0-2 0-12 L
23/09 Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W15 Belem
0-2 7-12 L
18/09 Julia Konishi Camargo Silva
W15 Sao Luis
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Isabela De Mattos Silva
W15 Sao Luis
2-0 13-7 W
16/09 Beatriz Dias
W15 Sao Luis
2-0 12-7 W
03/09 Maria Jose Sanchez Uribe
W15 Porto Velho
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marie Mettraux vs Catarina M I Melleiro Junior?

Our model gives 77% to Marie Mettraux, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.