Tennis · M25 Santa Cruz · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Breno Braga vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Team pages: Breno Braga · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Prediction summary
Winner
Breno Braga
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Breno Braga
1-9 (W-L)
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Breno Braga 1397 · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1552
| Breno Braga | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 7% | 93% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (rating 1397 vs 1552).
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Breno Braga | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.5-10.6 | 12-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 26.9% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breno Braga
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Thiago Horacio Messa M25 Santa Cruz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M15 Salvador |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 26/10 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Joao Pessoa |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 18/10 | Filipe Bullamah M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M15 Belem |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Victor Bini M25 Londrina |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 20/07 | Kaue Noatto M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Nicolas Zanellato M25 Santa Cruz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Wilson Leite Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 19/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe De Dios Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Ciancaglini Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breno Braga vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Our model gives 83% to Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.