Tennis · M25 Montreal · 11/11, 17:30

Prediction: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Tiago Silva

Team pages: Oskar Brostrom Poulsen · Tiago Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen Tiago Silva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWWL
Tiago Silva 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oskar Brostrom Poulsen 1481 · Tiago Silva 1506
Oskar Brostrom PoulsenTiago Silva
Our model46%54%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tiago Silva makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Oskar Brostrom PoulsenTiago Silva
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard – 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)11.3-10.910.5-10.4
Aces10.84.1
Double faults2.85.5
1st serve %77.4%70.9%
Break %25.1%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oskar Brostrom Poulsen

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Mikael Arseneault
M15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 7-12 L
05/11 Tiago Pires
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 12-5 W
03/11 Andy Tchinda Kepche
M15 Trois-Rivieres
2-0 12-5 W
13/10 Nikola Slavic
M15 Lexington
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Samir Banerjee
M25 Falun
1-2 13-17 L
23/09 Lewie Lane
M25 Falun
2-0 13-9 W
22/09 Erik Gahnstrom
M25 Falun
2-0 12-4 W
05/08 Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Frankfurt
1-2 17-18 L
30/07 Karl Friberg
M25 Gentofte
0-2 10-13 L
19/07 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 11-14 L

Tiago Silva

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Matthias Uwe Kask
M25 Montreal
2-0 12-5 W
09/11 Stefano Lacroce
M25 Montreal
2-0 12-2 W
20/08 Pavel Lagutin
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Rocco Piatti
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-1 17-13 W
12/08 Robin Bertrand
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 6-12 L
10/08 Jeffrey Fradkin
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-7 W
15/07 Lucas Marionneau
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 11-14 L
16/06 Joao Dinis Silva
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
1-2 9-16 L
15/06 Miguel Semedo
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
10/06 Diego Fernandez Flores
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oskar Brostrom Poulsen vs Tiago Silva?

Our model gives 53% to Oskar Brostrom Poulsen, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.