Tennis · M25 Montreal · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: Jannik Opitz vs Miko Lapalme

Team pages: Jannik Opitz · Miko Lapalme

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Jannik Opitz Miko Lapalme
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jannik Opitz 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWW
Miko Lapalme 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jannik Opitz 1477 · Miko Lapalme 1508
Jannik OpitzMiko Lapalme
Our model46%54%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jannik Opitz makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Jannik OpitzMiko Lapalme
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.2-0.8
Games (G-P)9.7-12.29.9-8.6
Aces4.42.7
Double faults5.32.4
1st serve %73%62.3%
Break %35.6%32.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jannik Opitz

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/10 Sebastian Gima
M25 Slobozia
1-2 7-15 L
01/10 Ryo Tabata
M25 Slobozia
1-0 7-6 W
29/09 Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Slobozia
2-1 16-16 W
31/08 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/08 Stefan Horia Haita
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
10/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
0-2 10-14 L
09/08 Ryan Nijboer
Challenger Hamburg · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
02/08 Matej Dodig
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
19/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
06/07 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Miko Lapalme

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 David Cristian Carteputreda
M25 Montreal
2-0 14-11 W
09/11 Haig Daouidian
M25 Montreal
2-0 12-1 W
09/07 Strong Kirchheimer
M25 Laval
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Aurel Ciocanu
M25 Laval
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Henry Lieberman
M25 Laval
2-0 12-6 W
21/03 Miles Clark
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/03 Andrew Li
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
18/03 Hugh Winter
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
17/03 Avner Wong
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/03 Solal Pont
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jannik Opitz vs Miko Lapalme?

Our model gives 63% to Jannik Opitz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.