Tennis · Challenger Lima · 11/11, 17:30
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Ryo Tabata
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Ryo Tabata
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
6-4 (W-L)
Ryo Tabata
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1520 · Ryo Tabata 1574
| Tristan Boyer | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryo Tabata (rating 1520 vs 1574).
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Ryo Tabata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 11.6-10 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ryo Tabata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/11 | Johan Nikles Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/11 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/11 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Juan Estevez Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/11 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 01/11 | Rocco Valente Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Jannik Opitz M25 Slobozia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 29/09 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Ryo Tabata?
Our model gives 64% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.