Tennis · Challenger Lima · 11/11, 16:00
Prediction: Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Santiago De La Fuente · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago De La Fuente
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago De La Fuente
7-3 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago De La Fuente 1546 · Max Alcala Gurri 1560
| Santiago De La Fuente | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Santiago De La Fuente | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.2 | 11.8-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 62% |
| Break % | 29.8% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago De La Fuente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 09/11 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/11 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 02/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 01/11 | Faustino Boffelli Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Boris Arias Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Facundo Mena Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 71% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.