Tennis · Challenger Lima · 12/11, 15:00
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1507 · Alex Barrena 1565
| Alan Magadan | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1507 vs 1565).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.5 | 11.6-8 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/11 | Nicolas Barrientos Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Fabio Zavalaga Uculmana Challenger Lima · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 70% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.