Tennis · M15 Roldan · 12/11, 13:00
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Valentin Basel
Team pages: Juan Estevez · Valentin Basel
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Valentin Basel
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
2-8 (W-L)
Valentin Basel
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Estevez
2–0
Valentin Basel
(2 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 12-5W
- 01 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1414 · Valentin Basel 1488
| Juan Estevez | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Basel (rating 1414 vs 1488).
- Valentin Basel is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 2–0 Valentin Basel (2).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 11% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-14.5 | 10.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Juan Estevez 2 – 0 Valentin Basel (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 2–0 Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 M15 San Salvador de Jujuy | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/04/25 ITF M25 Chacabuco | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Roldan |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/11 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Santiago Pesino M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Mateus Napoli da Silveira M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Enzo Lima M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/08 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alex Finkelstein M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 65% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.