Tennis · M15 Naples · 12/11, 14:00
Prediction: Justin Riley Anson vs William Nolan
Team pages: Justin Riley Anson · William Nolan
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Riley Anson
William Nolan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Riley Anson
8-2 (W-L)
William Nolan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Riley Anson 1561 · William Nolan 1491
| Justin Riley Anson | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Justin Riley Anson (rating 1561 vs 1491).
Statistics
| Justin Riley Anson | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11 | 8.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 46% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Riley Anson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Logan Zapp M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/07 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 16/07 | Chase Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/07 | Mitchell Lee UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/05 | William Chase Thompson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Jonty Giesen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/05 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/01 | Solal Pont UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
William Nolan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Matthew Segura M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Conor Brady M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Joseph Newman-Billington M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Nikolaos Chatziavraam M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 16/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Arman Zamani M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Riley Anson vs William Nolan?
Our model gives 51% to William Nolan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.