Tennis · M15 Naples · 11/11, 17:30

Prediction: Robert Watzka vs Tomas Jirousek

Team pages: Robert Watzka · Tomas Jirousek

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Robert Watzka Tomas Jirousek
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Robert Watzka 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWWLLW
Tomas Jirousek 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Robert Watzka 1541 · Tomas Jirousek 1576
Robert WatzkaTomas Jirousek
Our model45%55%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Robert WatzkaTomas Jirousek
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) –
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.6-0.5
Games (G-P)12.4-10.911.1-7.1
Aces1.81.4
Double faults33.5
1st serve %63.4%65.8%
Break %42.5%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Robert Watzka

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Kabeer Kapasi
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-1 11-9 W
11/10 Guglielmo Verdese
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 12-10 W
09/10 Corey Craig
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
07/10 Stepan Mruzek
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
06/10 Antonin Chapuis
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
05/10 Roman Venger
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/05 Alex Marti Pujolras
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
21/05 Luis Garcia Paez
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
20/05 Iliyan Radulov
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/03 Michiel de Krom
M25 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L

Tomas Jirousek

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/10 Rodrigo Cruz
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Asahi Harazaki
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
14/10 Alejandro Melero Kretzer
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
14/10 Louis Hull
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/10 Michael Lorenzetti
UTR Pro Norman · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
05/09 Louis Bowden
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/09 August Brostroem Poulsen
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
02/09 Timeo Bretin
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/09 William McEwan
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Agustin Salazar
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Robert Watzka vs Tomas Jirousek?

Our model gives 65% to Tomas Jirousek, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.