Tennis · M15 Naples · 11/11, 19:00
Prediction: Davide Tortora vs Lucca Liu
Team pages: Davide Tortora · Lucca Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Davide Tortora
Lucca Liu
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Davide Tortora
7-3 (W-L)
Lucca Liu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Davide Tortora 1540 · Lucca Liu 1561
| Davide Tortora | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Davide Tortora | Lucca Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8 | 10.2-7.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 60.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Davide Tortora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Saba George Nanobashvili M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Maties Torres Ramis M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Alberto Morolli M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Romeo Spinolo M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Lucca Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Balthazar Orsanic M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Rafael De Alba M15 Mazatlan |
1-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryan Colby M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Stefan Cooper M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Tim Loosen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Davide Tortora vs Lucca Liu?
Our model gives 51% to Davide Tortora, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.