Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 12/11, 11:00
Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Mika Petkovic
Team pages: Moez Echargui · Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
5-5 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1514 · Mika Petkovic 1599
| Moez Echargui | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1514 vs 1599).
- Mika Petkovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.8 | 12.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Marcus Walters Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | James Beaven M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Mark Ceban M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Billy Blaydes M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | David Eichenseher M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 52% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.