Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 12/11, 11:00

Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Lorenzo Giustino

Team pages: Dali Blanch · Lorenzo Giustino

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Dali Blanch Lorenzo Giustino
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLLLLW
Lorenzo Giustino 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1484 · Lorenzo Giustino 1508
Dali BlanchLorenzo Giustino
Our model47%53%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Dali BlanchLorenzo Giustino
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 100% (1) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-1.2
Games (G-P)10.2-10.312.6-12.1
Aces3.74.7
Double faults2.43.2
1st serve %61.7%68.7%
Break %44.1%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dali Blanch

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Marko Topo
Challenger Monastir · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
19/10 Henrique Rocha
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
11/10 Milos Karol
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
07/10 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Braga · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
23/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/09 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/09 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/09 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
13/09 Jan Chlodnicki
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Lorenzo Giustino

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Nicolas Tepmahc
Challenger Monastir · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/11 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Taranto · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
21/10 Yanaki Milev
Challenger Florence · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
16/10 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 15-14 L
14/10 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
13/10 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Maia · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
08/10 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Palermo · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
06/10 Christian Langmo
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 John Sperle
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
25/09 Gerard Campana Lee
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Lorenzo Giustino?

Our model gives 54% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.