Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 12/11, 11:00
Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Aziz Ouakaa
Team pages: Marvin Moeller · Aziz Ouakaa
Prediction summary
Winner
Marvin Moeller
Aziz Ouakaa
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marvin Moeller
6-4 (W-L)
Aziz Ouakaa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1544 · Aziz Ouakaa 1555
| Marvin Moeller | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marvin Moeller makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Marvin Moeller | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.8 | 10.5-10 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 69% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/11 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | John Echeverria Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/11 | Lilian Marmousez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/10 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/10 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/10 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Solapur |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Eliakim Coulibaly M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 09/10 | Kaan Isik Kosaner M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 64% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.