Tennis · W35 Weston · 11/11, 20:30
Prediction: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lexington Reed
Team pages: Allegra Korpanec Davies · Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Allegra Korpanec Davies
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Allegra Korpanec Davies
3-7 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Allegra Korpanec Davies 1417 · Lexington Reed 1497
| Allegra Korpanec Davies | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexington Reed (rating 1417 vs 1497).
- Lexington Reed is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Allegra Korpanec Davies | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.9 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 63% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Allegra Korpanec Davies
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Vivian Wolff W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Lea Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Kate Fakih W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/08 | Ayla Aksu W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/08 | Emily Appleton W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Emily Eigelsbach W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Cindy Langlais W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Rachel Gailis W35 Weston · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 New Braunfels |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Deniz Dilek W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Divna Ratkovic W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Arina Bulatova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katrina Scott W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 67% to Lexington Reed, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.