Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Elizabeth Mandlik
Team pages: Lucia Bronzetti · Elizabeth Mandlik
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Bronzetti
Elizabeth Mandlik
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Bronzetti
3-7 (W-L)
Elizabeth Mandlik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucia Bronzetti
2–0
Elizabeth Mandlik
(2 last)
- 28 Jul2-1 17-14W
- 21 Feb2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1441 · Elizabeth Mandlik 1519
| Lucia Bronzetti | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elizabeth Mandlik (rating 1441 vs 1519).
- Elizabeth Mandlik is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lucia Bronzetti 2–0 Elizabeth Mandlik (2).
- Note: Elizabeth Mandlik makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Bronzetti | Elizabeth Mandlik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-13.1 | 13.6-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 41% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Lucia Bronzetti 2 – 0 Elizabeth Mandlik (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucia Bronzetti 2–0 Elizabeth Mandlik
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/25 WTA Montreal | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/02/19 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Julieta Pareja WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/10 | Luisina Giovannini WTA Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Jil Teichmann WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Mona Barthel WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lois Boisson WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Laura Samsonova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Elizabeth Mandlik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/11 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/11 | Selena Janicijevic WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 31/10 | Fiona Ferro WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 29/10 | Selena Janicijevic WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Emiliana Arango WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Austin |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/10 | Barbora Palicova W50 Austin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Elizabeth Mandlik?
Our model gives 51% to Elizabeth Mandlik, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.