Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Carole Monnet
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Carole Monnet
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
7-3 (W-L)
Carole Monnet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1528 · Carole Monnet 1568
| Polona Hercog | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carole Monnet (rating 1528 vs 1568).
- Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Carole Monnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.2 | 11.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Carole Monnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Sopo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/11 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/11 | Laura Samsonova WTA Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/11 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Nadia Podoroska WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Lucie Havlickova W100 Wrexham |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet?
Our model gives 55% to Carole Monnet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.