Tennis · WTA Sopo · 11/11, 16:00

Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello

Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Alice Tubello

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Tatjana Maria Alice Tubello
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLL
Alice Tubello 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWLW
Head-to-head
Tatjana Maria 1–0 Alice Tubello (1 last)
  • 24 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1574 · Alice Tubello 1619
Tatjana MariaAlice Tubello
Our model44%56%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alice Tubello (rating 1574 vs 1619).
  • Head-to-head: Tatjana Maria 1–0 Alice Tubello (1).

Statistics

Tatjana MariaAlice Tubello
Win %70%90%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) 90% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.8-0.4
Games (G-P)13.1-9.312-7.1
Aces41.1
Double faults2.61.3
1st serve %69.1%64.8%
Break %61.1%55.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

H2H · Tatjana Maria 1 – 0 Alice Tubello (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tatjana Maria 1–0 Alice Tubello

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/10/19
ITF W80 Poitiers
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tatjana Maria

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Luisina Giovannini
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-1 18-16 W
01/11 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Queretaro · Clay
1-2 10-14 L
01/11 Fiona Ferro
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
30/10 Valeriya Strakhova
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/10 Martina Colmegna
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/10 Carlota Garibay Romero
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
23/10 Reese Brantmeier
W75 Saguenay
1-2 15-15 L
22/10 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Victoria Hu
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-1 W
16/10 Dana Guzman
W100 Edmond
1-2 10-14 L

Alice Tubello

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Julia Riera
WTA Sopo · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
07/11 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Cali · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/11 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/11 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/11 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/11 Julia Grabher
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 17-18 W
31/10 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
30/10 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
28/10 Luna Maria Cinalli
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Laura Samsonova
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello?

Our model gives 54% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.