Tennis · M15 Roldan · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Giovanni Branchetti vs Lucio Ratti
Team pages: Giovanni Branchetti · Lucio Ratti
Prediction summary
Winner
Giovanni Branchetti
Lucio Ratti
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Giovanni Branchetti
8-2 (W-L)
Lucio Ratti
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giovanni Branchetti 1606 · Lucio Ratti 1487
| Giovanni Branchetti | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giovanni Branchetti (rating 1606 vs 1487).
- Giovanni Branchetti is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Lucio Ratti makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Giovanni Branchetti | Lucio Ratti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.7 | 12.9-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giovanni Branchetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Agustin Fernandez Badia M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/11 | Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg M15 Salvador |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Benjamin Torrealba M15 Salvador |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M15 Salvador |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Jefferson Wendler Filho M15 Salvador |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/10 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Joao Pessoa |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Dante Pagani M15 Maceio |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/10 | Tomas Martinez M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Maceio |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lucio Ratti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 27/10 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Alessandro Rubini Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Coria Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giovanni Branchetti vs Lucio Ratti?
Our model gives 58% to Lucio Ratti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.