Tennis · M15 Roldan · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Joseph Hernandez vs Tobia Grandinetti
Team pages: Joseph Hernandez · Tobia Grandinetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Joseph Hernandez
Tobia Grandinetti
Estimated games
18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joseph Hernandez
1-9 (W-L)
Tobia Grandinetti
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joseph Hernandez
0–1
Tobia Grandinetti
(1 last)
- 18 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joseph Hernandez 1381 · Tobia Grandinetti 1455
| Joseph Hernandez | Tobia Grandinetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tobia Grandinetti (rating 1381 vs 1455).
- Head-to-head: Joseph Hernandez 0–1 Tobia Grandinetti (1).
- Note: Joseph Hernandez makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Joseph Hernandez | Tobia Grandinetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.2-1.8 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-12.3 | 6.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 55.6% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.5
H2H · Joseph Hernandez 0 – 1 Tobia Grandinetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joseph Hernandez 0–1 Tobia Grandinetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/25 ITF M15 Olavarria | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joseph Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Lautaro Rocha M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Albert Widell UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Nicholas Godsick UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Caleb Saltz UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Antonio Prat UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Stefan Correa UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ashton Adesoro UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Tobia Grandinetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Valentino Conte M15 Roldan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Fano |
2-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Umag · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Facundo Yunis M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joseph Hernandez vs Tobia Grandinetti?
Our model gives 64% to Tobia Grandinetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.