Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 12/11, 11:00
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro Canas
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Alejandro Moro Canas
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Alejandro Moro Canas
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
6-4 (W-L)
Alejandro Moro Canas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1541 · Alejandro Moro Canas 1596
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Moro Canas (rating 1541 vs 1596).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.1 | 13.1-11 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Wissam Abderrahman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Julien Penzlin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Nishesh Basavareddy ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Alejandro Moro Canas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Wissam Abderrahman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/11 | Duje Ajdukovic M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/11 | John Echeverria M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro Canas?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Moro Canas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.